Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 11

Updated Jul. 11, 2025, 7:00 p.m. ET

Romy Gonzalez and the Boston Red Sox are set to face Junior Caminero and the Tampa Bay Rays at Fenway Park this Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET, as they continue their four-game series. Oddsmakers currently favor the Red Sox with a moneyline of -116, while the Rays are listed as underdogs at -103. The Rays hold a 1.5-run advantage (at +148 odds), and the total for this matchup is set at 9 runs.

Let’s explore everything you need to know from a betting perspective regarding the Red Sox-Rays game, including the run line, moneyline, total, and expert picks.

Red Sox vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, July 11, 2025, at 7:10 p.m. ET

Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts

How to watch on TV: NESN and FDSSUN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line Favorite	Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox	-116	-103	9	-110	-110	-1.5	-181	+148

Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction

Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Rays 4

Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

Win Probabilities: Red Sox 52%, Rays 48%

Red Sox vs. Rays Betting Insights

This season, the Red Sox have been favorites in 59 games, winning 33 of those contests, translating to a success rate of 55.9%. When favored by -116 or more, they have a record of 31-21, achieving a win rate of 59.6%. The moneyline for this matchup implies a 53. jili slot 8887% victory chance for the Red Sox. phcity jili login

On the other hand, the Rays have come out victorious in 21 out of 44 matches as underdogs, a 47.7% success rate. They stand at 19-19 in games where sportsbooks set them at -103 or worse on the moneyline, reflecting an implied victory probability of 50.7% based on current odds.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

The Red Sox were favored in nine of their last 10 games, achieving an impressive 8-1 record. In those 10 matchups, they hit the over on the run total eight times.

Over their past 10 games, the Red Sox have maintained an 8-2-0 record against the spread.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	9-1
Runs Per Game	8.2
HR	18
ERA	3.00
K/9	7.9

Red Sox Player Insights

Jarren Duran is batting .260 with 24 doubles, 10 triples, eight home runs, and 28 walks. Among MLB players, he ranks 147th in home runs and 48th in RBIs.

Ceddanne Rafaela leads the team with a .268 batting average and is 74th in home runs and 77th in RBIs this season. Entering this game, Rafaela aims for his eighth consecutive game with a hit, boasting a .378 average in the last 10 games with eight doubles, three home runs, two walks, and 11 RBIs.

Wilyer Abreu tops the Red Sox with 18 home runs, while Trevor Story leads in RBIs with 57.

Red Sox Team Props

Player	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Wilyer Abreu	0.5 (-210)	1.5 (+125)	–	0.5 (+145)
Trevor Story	0.5 (-215)	1.5 (+130)	–	0.5 (+190)
Masataka Yoshida	0.5 (-280)	1.5 (+105)	–	0.5 (+170)
Jarren Duran	0.5 (-255)	1.5 (-110)	–	0 download gcash apk color game app.5 (+165)
Ceddanne Rafaela	0.5 (-210)	1.5 (+145)	–	0.5 (+200)

Rays Recent Betting Performance

Over the past 10 matchups, the Rays have a 2-4 record as underdogs. They have an even record of 5-5-0 regarding hitting the over on their total games during this stretch, and their record against the spread is 2-8-0.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	12
ERA	4.45
K/9	10.7

Rays Player Insights

Junior Caminero is leading the Rays with 23 home runs and 59 RBIs, placing him ninth in MLB for home runs and 16th for RBIs. Yandy Diaz boasts a .287 average with 18 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs, and 28 walks, ranking 52nd overall in home runs and 32nd in RBIs.

Jonathan Aranda currently leads the Rays’ batting lineup with a 777pub.org.326 average, while Jake Mangum hits .309 with nine doubles, a triple, two home runs, and 11 walks.

Rays Team Props

Player	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Junior Caminero	0.5 (-265)	1.5 (+100)	–	0.5 (+120)
Josh Lowe	0.5 (-260)	1.5 (+110)	–	0.5 (+155)
Chandler Simpson	0.5 (-230)	1.5 (+145)	–	0.5 (+195)
Yandy Diaz	1.5 (+135)	1.5 (-120)	–	0.5 (+160)
Jonathan Aranda	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+100)	–	0.5 (+170)